US Gubernatorial Races – 2018

Gubernatorial – 2018

With 36 state governorships up for election this year, there are many opportunities for Jay Inslee’s Democratic Governors Association to add to their membership. Members of Bill Haslam’s Republican Governor’s Association will be primarily on the defense, but there may be opportunities for the Republicans to flip a few races as well. Will the Democrats ride a “blue wave” into the governorships of these states, or will this “blue wave” fizzle out and enable the Republicans to retain control of these states before redistricting in 2020?

NB. While this is obviously not true to how gubernatorial races work in real life, I thought that it would be a neat idea to develop a scenario of this sort. If people enjoy it, I may do other cycles.

Jamaica – 2016

Jamaica – 2016

Amidst the backdrop of rumours surrounding more IMF-sponsored austerity measures, Prime Minster Portia Simpson-Miller has called an early election. She will be running a campaign centered around steady economic growth, a lowering debt-to-GDP ratio, and multiple international credit upgrades. These achievements have come at a cost, however, as the IMF-imposed austerity measures remain deeply unpopular with the Jamaican electorate. Following his defeat in 2011, Leader of the Opposition Andrew Holness is ready for an attempt to regain his position as Prime Minister of Jamaica. The JLP have unveiled a 10-point plan designed to spur economic growth, while simultaneously lowering taxes in the island nation. While polling seems to indicate a razor-thin PNP lead, this election is up for grabs by either party!

Bahamas – 2007

Bahamas – 2007

Embroiled in political scandal surrounding the fast tracking of the residency application for Anna Nicole Smith, the Christie administration is now up for reelection. Former Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham has reentered front-line politics after a brief hiatus, and will lead the Free National Movement into the upcoming general election. The Bahamas Democratic Movement, a small third party option for Bahamians disaffected with both the PLP and FNM, will contest several seats as well. In addition to the Anna Nicole Smith scandal, voters will have to decide between the two parties on many other issues, such as economic policy, the financial services sector, and environmental issues among others. Will Bahamians be content with the steady economic growth of the past five years, or will political scandal and perceptions of poor governance mark the end of the Christie administration?

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Bahamas Democratic Movement
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Senator Orville “Tommy” Turnquest
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Minister of Health and National Insurance Dr. Bernard Nottage
    • Bahamas Democratic Movement
      • Cassius Stuart
  • Updated Issues and Party Platforms
  • Updated map with 2007 constituencies
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below.  I have redesigned the map due to difficulties in obtaining exact boundaries for Bahamian constituencies during this era.

A non-binding plan of action (depending on the amount of my personal time available) for further scenarios is as follows :

  • North Abaco – 2012 by-election
  • Elizabeth – 2010 by-election
  • Jamaica – 2016
  • Jamaica – 2011
  • Turks and Caicos – 2016
  • Trinidad and Tobago – 2015

I do not want to mention any further scenarios due to the risk of overextending myself given the amount of time that it takes to produce these. There may be deviations from this list, but these are what I hopefully have time to produce in the coming months.

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Bahamas – 2012

Bahamas – 2012

After 5 years in government, the Bahamian electorate is divided on Prime Minister Ingraham’s latest term in office.  Growing Chinese influence, and a rising national debt in the wake of the 2008 Recession, have many voters unsure of whether they will back the Prime Minister for another term in office.  The Progressive Liberal Party have rebounded from their 2007 electoral loss, and are set to challenge the Prime Minister on his most recent governing record.  According to the latest polls, the race appears to be neck and neck with both the Progressive Liberal Party and Free National Movement vying to attract independent voters into their respective corners.  A brand new third-party, the Democratic National Alliance, led by Member Of Parliament for Bamboo Town Branville McCartney has emerged onto the political scene following internal disputes within the FNM.  Seemingly attracting a strong amount of support, combined with high voter frustration, will they spoil the election for either major party? 

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Democratic National Alliance
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
      • Minister Of National Security Tommy Turnquest
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Hon. Dr. Bernard Nottage
      • Hon. Shane Gibson
    • Democratic National Alliance
      • Branville McCartney
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
      • Ali McIntosh
  • Updated Endorsers
  • Updated Issues and Party Platforms
  • Map of the Bahamas with 2012 constituency boundaries
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below.  Based off of feedback received from the 2017 scenario, I have reduced the costs of advertising.

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Bahamas – 2017

Bahamas – 2017

After 5 years in government, the ruling Progressive Liberal Party remains deeply unpopular with the Bahamian electorate. Allegations of corruption, and a high level of mistrust from Bahamian voters, continue to dog the party as the general election approaches. On the other hand, the opposition Free National Movement continues to struggle with internal disarray as their candidate for the general election, the Hon. Hubert Minnis, recently lost a vote of no confidence to remain as the sitting Leader of the Opposition in the House Of Assembly. Can the FNM quiet their internal struggles to proceed as a unified party into the upcoming election, or will the PLP win another 5 years of governance?

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Democratic National Alliance
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Hon. Hubert Minnis
      • Hon. Loretta Butler-Turner
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Fmr. Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Rt. Hon. Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Deputy Prime Minister Philip “Brave” Davis
      • Hon. Alfred Sears
      • Hon. MoFA & Immigration Fred Mitchell
    • Democratic National Alliance
      • Branville McCartney
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
      • Ali McIntosh
  • Variety Of Bahamian Endorsers
  • Noteworthy Bahamian Events
  • Bahamian Issues and Party Platforms
  • Map of the Bahamas with 2017 constituency boundaries
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below. This is my first publicly released scenario, so any feedback goes a long way in helping me to refine my work!

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)