Hi there! After a long time, this is the most ambitious project yet I have done, it is a full 133-county/city model of Virginia’s 2021 gubernatorial election. Using data from the 2017 election, I have constructed a simulation you will enjoy greatly! It is definitely easier as the Democrat here, but the Republicans have a fair shot at winning. There are SIX parties here: Democrats, Republicans, Libertarians, Greens, Constitution, and Independent Greens.
Candidates:
Democrats:
| Sen. Tim Kaine |
| Sen. Mark Warner |
| Gov. Terry McAuliffe |
| Rep. Elaine Luria (VA-2) |
| Rep. Bobby Scott (VA-3) |
| Rep. Don McEachin (VA-4) |
| Rep. Tom Perriello (VA-5) |
| Rep. Abigail Spanberger (VA-7) |
| Rep. Don Beyer (VA-8) |
| Former Rep. Rick Boucher (VA-9) |
| Rep. Jennifer Wexton (VA-10) |
| Rep. Gerry Connolly (VA-11) |
| Lt. Gov. Justin Fairfax |
| AG Mark Herring |
| Speaker Eileen Filler-Corn (HD-41) |
| Del. Jennifer Carroll Foy (HD-2) |
| Del. Chris Hurst (HD-12) |
| Del. Danica Roem (HD-13) |
| Del. Joshua Cole (HD-28) |
| Majority Leader Charniele Herring (HD-46) |
| Del. Lee Carter (HD-50) |
| St. Sen. Jennifer McClellan (SD-9) |
| St. Sen. Creigh Deeds (SD-25) |
| St. Sen. Jennifer Boysko (SD-33) |
| Majority Leader Dick Saslaw (SD-35) |
| St. Sen. Scott Surovell (SD-36) |
| Ms. Starla Kiser |
| Ms. Vangie Williams |
| Ms. Jennifer Lewis |
| Mr. Anthony Flaccavento |
Republicans:
| Gov. Bob McDonnell |
| Rep. Rob Wittman (VA-1) |
| Rep. Scott Taylor (VA-2) |
| Former Rep. Randy Forbes (VA-4) |
| Rep. Denver Riggleman (VA-5) |
| Rep. Ben Cline (VA-6) |
| Former Rep. Dave Brat (VA-7) |
| Rep. Morgan Griffith (VA-9) |
| Former Rep. Barbara Comstock (VA-10) |
| Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling |
| AG Ken Cuccinelli |
| Del. Will Wampler III (HD-4) |
| Del. Nick Freitas (HD-30) |
| Del. Dave LaRock (HD-33) |
| Del. Matt Fariss (HD-59) |
| Del. Tommy Wright (HD-61) |
| Del. Emily Brewer (HD-64) |
| Speaker Kirk Cox (HD-66) |
| Del. Margaret Ransone (HD-99) |
| Del. Robert Bloxom, Jr. (HD-100) |
| Minority Leader Tommy Norment (SD-3) |
| St. Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (SD-12) |
| St. Sen. David Suetterlein (SD-19) |
| St. Sen. Mark Obenshain (SD-26) |
| St. Sen. Todd Pillion (SD-40) |
| Mr. Corey Stewart |
| Mr. EW Jackson |
Libertarians:
| Mr. Bo Brown |
| Mr. Robert Sarvis |
| Mr. Bill Redpath |
| Mr. Cliff Hyra |
Greens:
| Josh Ruebner |
| Wendy Hageman Smith |
Constitution:
| Former Rep. Virgil Goode (VA-5) |
Independent Greens:
Have fun playing!
| Joseph Oddo |
| Elaine Hildebrandt |
The candidates don’t have a ton of nuance at the moment, but the number of candidates and the full county map make this scenario very promising.
Nice scenario. Can you do a Michigan or Wisconsin scenario anytime soon? I also would not mind having a MS, KS, or MO scenario either.
Yeah, probably. MI and WI are pretty far down my list, but I’ll definitely get to them. First up is North Carolina, and probably some other southern state after that (at this point, only scenarios left for the South are MS and LA, but LA is kinda boring until Anthony implements runoffs, so it’ll probably be MS). As for KS and MO, definitely possibilities.
Just downloaded and am going to play through. Nice to have seeing as I live in Virginia. It’d be nice to update with the correct candidates though. You’re missing most of the announced candidates – especially on the Republican side.
Would definitely like to see it updated with the correct candidates. However, you did a great job creating many of the major players.