The PM has managed to get a longer extension of Article 50 in order to hold a general election. Can a majority for any withdrawal agreement be formed out of the next parliament?
This is an updated version of the hypothetical election this year. With more leaders, events and parties than before, and polling brought up to date. Please enjoy, and report back any problems so I can improve it!
United Kingdom – 2019
Having failed to win the support of parliament for the PM’s Brexit deal, the Conservative minority government is now on the verge of collapse. But can a general election break the deadlock?
Starting on the 11th of December with Theresa May’s defeat in the Commons, this is an updated version of the 2019 General Election. The polling hasn’t been updated (still Sept. 2018) but some of the parliamentary candidates have been updated from ConservativeHome, LabourList and a Lib Dem blog, (thanks Joe).
New Conservative leaders – Gove and Morgan (as well as May). New Labour leader – Umunna (as well as Corbyn and Thornberry). There’s also a few other updates based on feedback, and a slightly more realistic narrative (though still not a likely one!). Hope you enjoy.
United Kingdom – 2019 II
The Conservative minority government has announced that no deal has been reached with the EU just over two months before the Article 50 deadline. Without a majority for any kind of Brexit deal in parliament, it is time for the British public to return to the polls and break the Brexit deadlock once and for all.
United Kingdom – 2019
The balance of seats is actually taken from polling in September 2018 but is not implausible.
New leaders since 2017 – Sian Berry, Adam Price and Mary Lou MacDonald. Some possible leaders – James Cleverly, Emily Thornberry and Layla Moran…
The tendency towards two party politics also means that three campaigners are available to the Conservative and Labour leaders, representing their most senior allies. Facebook and Twitter have been added to the endorsers, as social media advertising is influential.
United States – 2020 (V 2.0)
After winning the 2016 in an upset, Trump faces some challenges from within the party and from outside of the party. The Democratic side is wide open after they experienced gains in Governorships and a wave that flipped the House despite losing seats in the Senate in 2018.
Version 2.0 (12/23/2018)
This is the first update I have posted in a long time. This update is comprehensive. I changed quite a few %’s and changed all endorsers to match the actual 116th Congress and new set of Governors. I have also shifted some candidates from off->on and on->off. Democratic candidates that have now been added are Beto O’Rourke, Richard Ojeda, Jay Inslee, Sherrod Brown & Michael Bloomberg. It’s still pretty rough around the edges, but it’s something.
President Forever 2008 + Primaries
Author: Jay Everington
(EDIT: Version 3.0 added; previous versions had errors)
United States – 2016
Description: “After Barack Obama’s re-election in 2012, both parties are set to nominate brand new candidates, ensuring a fresh face in the White House for the next four years. Can the democrats win a third consecutive term or will the republicans take back the White House?”