The Netherlands – 2017

The second Rutte cabinet, the first government to serve a full term since 2002, was formed after two rivaling and ideologically opposite parties joined each other in a coalition and in the proces got very unpopular in the polls. The election is setting up to be the closest ever with seven parties a serious contender for the win. This election also saw the highest number of participating parties in a general election ever. Will you be able to secure parliamentary seats with one of the newcomers or get a third victory in a row for Rutte’s liberal VVD? Will you be able to make populist Geert Wilder’s PVV the largest party for the first time or make the grand old parties of CDA or PvdA bounce back into power? Will you form the backbone in the next Dutch government? Prove it in this scenario.

Scenario Features include:

  • Dutch political parties: all parties that took part in most of the electoral districts. Parties that ended up taking seats are on default, parties that didn’t are off.
    • VVD: People’s Party for Freedom and Democracy (on)
    • PvdA: Labour Party (on)
    • PVV: Party for Freedom (on)
    • SP: Socialist Party (on)
    • CDA: Christian Democratic Appeal (on)
    • D66: Democrats 66 (on)
    • ChristenUnie: Christian Union (on)
    • GroenLinks: GreenLeft (on)
    • SGP: Reformed Political Party (on)
    • PvdD: Party for the Animals (on)
    • 50PLUS (on)
    • Entrepeneurs Party (off)
    • VNL: For the Netherlands (off)
    • DENK (on)
    • New Ways (off)
    • FvD: Forum for Democracy (on)
    • The Civil Movement (off)
    • Free-Minded Party (off)
    • GeenPeil (off)
    • Pirate Party (off)
    • Article 1 (off)
    • Non-Voters (off)
    • Libertarian Party (off)
    • Local Represented (off)
    • JESUS LIVES (off)
  • Dutch political leaders: Most larger parties and some of the smaller ones have multiple possible party leaders. The ones that had leader elections got the runners-up as a choice for leader for that party.
  • Specific Dutch endorsers: From well-known ones like “De Telegraaf”, the largest circulated newspaper, to NGO’s like “Vluchtelingenwerk Nederland” to individuals from journalists like Wierd Duk, tv-personalities like Johan Derksen to activists like Johan Vollenbroek.
  • Issues and party platforms specific for this election like “direct democracy”, “asylum seekers and immigration” and “discrimination laws”
  • Events that had an impact on the elections. From the Geert Wilders court case in December to the Turkish minister visiting Rotterdam in March.
  • Map based on the Dutch “kieskring”-system. These electoral districts are mostly coinciding with provincial borders but some are only a specific city or region. A new party has to apply in each “kieskring” independently and parties have the opportunity to use different electoral lists in each “kieskring”.
  • And much more!

Bahamas – 2007

Bahamas – 2007

Embroiled in political scandal surrounding the fast tracking of the residency application for Anna Nicole Smith, the Christie administration is now up for reelection. Former Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham has reentered front-line politics after a brief hiatus, and will lead the Free National Movement into the upcoming general election. The Bahamas Democratic Movement, a small third party option for Bahamians disaffected with both the PLP and FNM, will contest several seats as well. In addition to the Anna Nicole Smith scandal, voters will have to decide between the two parties on many other issues, such as economic policy, the financial services sector, and environmental issues among others. Will Bahamians be content with the steady economic growth of the past five years, or will political scandal and perceptions of poor governance mark the end of the Christie administration?

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Bahamas Democratic Movement
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Senator Orville “Tommy” Turnquest
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Minister of Health and National Insurance Dr. Bernard Nottage
    • Bahamas Democratic Movement
      • Cassius Stuart
  • Updated Issues and Party Platforms
  • Updated map with 2007 constituencies
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below.  I have redesigned the map due to difficulties in obtaining exact boundaries for Bahamian constituencies during this era.

A non-binding plan of action (depending on the amount of my personal time available) for further scenarios is as follows :

  • North Abaco – 2012 by-election
  • Elizabeth – 2010 by-election
  • Jamaica – 2016
  • Jamaica – 2011
  • Turks and Caicos – 2016
  • Trinidad and Tobago – 2015

I do not want to mention any further scenarios due to the risk of overextending myself given the amount of time that it takes to produce these. There may be deviations from this list, but these are what I hopefully have time to produce in the coming months.

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Bahamas – 2012

Bahamas – 2012

After 5 years in government, the Bahamian electorate is divided on Prime Minister Ingraham’s latest term in office.  Growing Chinese influence, and a rising national debt in the wake of the 2008 Recession, have many voters unsure of whether they will back the Prime Minister for another term in office.  The Progressive Liberal Party have rebounded from their 2007 electoral loss, and are set to challenge the Prime Minister on his most recent governing record.  According to the latest polls, the race appears to be neck and neck with both the Progressive Liberal Party and Free National Movement vying to attract independent voters into their respective corners.  A brand new third-party, the Democratic National Alliance, led by Member Of Parliament for Bamboo Town Branville McCartney has emerged onto the political scene following internal disputes within the FNM.  Seemingly attracting a strong amount of support, combined with high voter frustration, will they spoil the election for either major party? 

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Democratic National Alliance
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
      • Minister Of National Security Tommy Turnquest
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Hon. Dr. Bernard Nottage
      • Hon. Shane Gibson
    • Democratic National Alliance
      • Branville McCartney
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
      • Ali McIntosh
  • Updated Endorsers
  • Updated Issues and Party Platforms
  • Map of the Bahamas with 2012 constituency boundaries
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below.  Based off of feedback received from the 2017 scenario, I have reduced the costs of advertising.

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Bahamas – 2017

Bahamas – 2017

After 5 years in government, the ruling Progressive Liberal Party remains deeply unpopular with the Bahamian electorate. Allegations of corruption, and a high level of mistrust from Bahamian voters, continue to dog the party as the general election approaches. On the other hand, the opposition Free National Movement continues to struggle with internal disarray as their candidate for the general election, the Hon. Hubert Minnis, recently lost a vote of no confidence to remain as the sitting Leader of the Opposition in the House Of Assembly. Can the FNM quiet their internal struggles to proceed as a unified party into the upcoming election, or will the PLP win another 5 years of governance?

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Democratic National Alliance
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Hon. Hubert Minnis
      • Hon. Loretta Butler-Turner
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Fmr. Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Rt. Hon. Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Deputy Prime Minister Philip “Brave” Davis
      • Hon. Alfred Sears
      • Hon. MoFA & Immigration Fred Mitchell
    • Democratic National Alliance
      • Branville McCartney
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
      • Ali McIntosh
  • Variety Of Bahamian Endorsers
  • Noteworthy Bahamian Events
  • Bahamian Issues and Party Platforms
  • Map of the Bahamas with 2017 constituency boundaries
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below. This is my first publicly released scenario, so any feedback goes a long way in helping me to refine my work!

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Israel September 2019 Election

While Netanyahu won earlier this year, he couldn’t form a coalition and thus called for another snap election in September as a hail mary in hopes of securing a majority coalition that will help him weather the corruption scandals engulfing his rule. The relatively young Blue and White alliance has rose to prominence last election as a united front of moderates both left and right to oppose Netanyahu and are now ready for round two, who will win in this decisive election?

Another update, some rebalancing, readjusted population numbers to be more accurate

http://campaigns.270soft.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Israel-2019-2-6.zip

Spain election 2019 scenario! V.1 (Pre election)

With the Spanish general election on 28th April, here is a scenario for the election. I will adjust the figures once the actual results are in to reflect the changes.

Spanish PM Pedro Sanchez is facing a tough re-election fight as a C’s-PP-VOX alliance appears to be gaining ground. Can the Socialists win a majority along with their Podemos allies, or will the right wing parties win? Or will we end up in a situation where neither bloc has a majority and has to rely on nationalist parties?

Party ideologies:

PSOE: Socialist (Centre-Left)

PP: Christian Democratic (Centre-Right to Right-wing)

C’s: Liberal (Centre to centre-right)

UP: Socialist (Left to far-left)

VOX: Ultranationalist, Francoist (Far-Right)

ERC: Nationalist, Socialist (Left-Wing)

PDECAT: Nationalist, Liberal (Centre-Centre-Right)

PACMA: Animal rights, socialism (Left-wing)

PNV: Nationalist, Christian Democratic (Centre-Right)

EH-Bildu: Nationalist, Socialist (Left-Wing).

 

Party alliances:

Centre-Left: PSOE+UP

Centre-Right/Far Right: PP+C’s+VOX

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Spanish_general_election

Spain-2019

New Zealand election 2017!

Hi everyone! Here is a link to a scenario I made about last year’s election in New Zealand. This was very hard to make, since in New Zealand most of the Labour Party’s seats are list seats, and we do not have MMP or (Yet) preferences, unlike in real life, so it was difficult to make this. However, I came up with a solution, which was to add some MPs as a top up for the parties (To make up for a lack of a proportional list system) and as a result the scenario works perfectly. Try it out and see how you find it. I also added the Maori electorates as in real life.

Once we have preferences, or indeed MMP, I will update this scenario and add in the new electoral dynamics.

There also seems to be an error with high scores at the end, which I would like to correct, if someone can help me with finding out the reason for it?

Description:

“Note: preferences will be added in a future release.

After taking control of the Labour Party, Jacinda Ardern has shown herself to be a formidable campaigner. Can she lead Labour back into government or will Bill English and the Nationals win this hotly contested election?

This simulation uses a unique electoral system where, in addition to the Maori electorates, everyone will also have a list vote for list MPs on the North and South Island, and smaller parties are given list seats to reflect their vote share.”

Screenshots:

 

 

Download here: NZ2017

Italian General election 2018 scenario!

This is my first ever scenario! I have made a scenario for the Italian general election which occurred last week. Unfortunately there were a few glitches (E.g if you want to see an overall picture of the election in Italy you have to click on the black spaces between the electoral regions, otherwise for some reason it keeps showing the Piedmont result). Here are some screenshots and the download link. Enjoy!

 

 

 

Italy election 2018 download here