Spain election 2019 scenario! V.1 (Pre election)

With the Spanish general election on 28th April, here is a scenario for the election. I will adjust the figures once the actual results are in to reflect the changes.

Spanish PM Pedro Sanchez is facing a tough re-election fight as a C’s-PP-VOX alliance appears to be gaining ground. Can the Socialists win a majority along with their Podemos allies, or will the right wing parties win? Or will we end up in a situation where neither bloc has a majority and has to rely on nationalist parties?

Party ideologies:

PSOE: Socialist (Centre-Left)

PP: Christian Democratic (Centre-Right to Right-wing)

C’s: Liberal (Centre to centre-right)

UP: Socialist (Left to far-left)

VOX: Ultranationalist, Francoist (Far-Right)

ERC: Nationalist, Socialist (Left-Wing)

PDECAT: Nationalist, Liberal (Centre-Centre-Right)

PACMA: Animal rights, socialism (Left-wing)

PNV: Nationalist, Christian Democratic (Centre-Right)

EH-Bildu: Nationalist, Socialist (Left-Wing).

 

Party alliances:

Centre-Left: PSOE+UP

Centre-Right/Far Right: PP+C’s+VOX

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Spanish_general_election

Spain-2019

United Kingdom 2019 v3.0

The PM has managed to get a longer extension of Article 50 in order to hold a general election. Can a majority for any withdrawal agreement be formed out of the next parliament?

This is an updated version of the hypothetical election this year. With more leaders, events and parties than before, and polling brought up to date. Please enjoy, and report back any problems so I can improve it!

United Kingdom – 2019

Quebec 2018 – Change has come (events added)

Quebec – 2018 mod

In 2018, change is the keyword for the Quebec election. After being in power for 13 of the last 15 years (and the last 4 years), the incumbent Liberal party (PLQ) suffers from low approval ratings . Since autumn 2017, the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), with François Legault as leader, has been ahead of the PLQ in almost all the polls, with the Parti Québécois (PQ) – currently the official opposition – significantly behind them in third. Quebec Solidaire (QS), meanwhile, has merged with the independentist party Option Nationale, and is in fourth. It seems to be a two-way race between CAQ and PLQ, but with a lot of undecideds, the result is nowhere near certain. Will the CAQ be able to maintain its lead without alienating its base? Will the PLQ be able to win despite a historically low approval rate? Will the PQ be able to buck the trend and to keep its current seats, or even increase them? And finally, will QS be able to finally gain a seat outside Montreal?

Events :

Gertrude Bourdon announces she will run with PLQ, not CAQ

Le Bouyonec to resign, Eric Caire in trouble over a loan

Lisée won the Radio Canada debate

Manon Massé is impressive

Legault considered as unclear on immigration

Lisée asks Massé who rules Quebec solidaire during the third debate, the question is considered out of the corner by the animator

Medias start seeking who rules Quebec Solidaire

Premier Philippe Couillard under controversy : He tells a complete family can live with 75 canadian dollars by week.

Quebecers tell they want change

Here is a video like always from the party which won the election:

 

United Kingdom – 2019 (Second Version)

Having failed to win the support of parliament for the PM’s Brexit deal, the Conservative minority government is now on the verge of collapse. But can a general election break the deadlock?

Starting on the 11th of December with Theresa May’s defeat in the Commons, this is an updated version of the 2019 General Election. The polling hasn’t been updated (still Sept. 2018) but some of the parliamentary candidates have been updated from ConservativeHome, LabourList and a Lib Dem blog, (thanks Joe).

New Conservative leaders – Gove and Morgan (as well as May). New Labour leader – Umunna (as well as Corbyn and Thornberry). There’s also a few other updates based on feedback, and a slightly more realistic narrative (though still not a likely one!). Hope you enjoy.

United Kingdom – 2019 II

Herschel

New Zealand election 2017!

Hi everyone! Here is a link to a scenario I made about last year’s election in New Zealand. This was very hard to make, since in New Zealand most of the Labour Party’s seats are list seats, and we do not have MMP or (Yet) preferences, unlike in real life, so it was difficult to make this. However, I came up with a solution, which was to add some MPs as a top up for the parties (To make up for a lack of a proportional list system) and as a result the scenario works perfectly. Try it out and see how you find it. I also added the Maori electorates as in real life.

Once we have preferences, or indeed MMP, I will update this scenario and add in the new electoral dynamics.

There also seems to be an error with high scores at the end, which I would like to correct, if someone can help me with finding out the reason for it?

Description:

“Note: preferences will be added in a future release.

After taking control of the Labour Party, Jacinda Ardern has shown herself to be a formidable campaigner. Can she lead Labour back into government or will Bill English and the Nationals win this hotly contested election?

This simulation uses a unique electoral system where, in addition to the Maori electorates, everyone will also have a list vote for list MPs on the North and South Island, and smaller parties are given list seats to reflect their vote share.”

Screenshots:

 

 

Download here: NZ2017

United Kingdom – 2019 (First Version)

The Conservative minority government has announced that no deal has been reached with the EU just over two months before the Article 50 deadline. Without a majority for any kind of Brexit deal in parliament, it is time for the British public to return to the polls and break the Brexit deadlock once and for all.

United Kingdom – 2019

The balance of seats is actually taken from polling in September 2018 but is not implausible.

New leaders since 2017 – Sian Berry, Adam Price and Mary Lou MacDonald. Some possible leaders – James Cleverly, Emily Thornberry and Layla Moran…

The tendency towards two party politics also means that three campaigners are available to the Conservative and Labour leaders, representing their most senior allies. Facebook and Twitter have been added to the endorsers, as social media advertising is influential.

UK – 2017 New Leaders

It’s what it says on the tin, this adds new leaders for both the major parties as well as some minor parties. In the near future I will add bios for the present leaders. I plan on adding more leaders, and diversifying the independent party (add minor parties and ideologically specific independents) sometime in the future.

United Kingdom – 2017 More Leaders

 

Updated: September 12 2018

Adjusts Leader attributes for Liam Fox and Hilary Benn.

Added David Cameron, John McDonnell, and Vince Cable.

 

Quebec 2012 provincial Election (for Infinity version)

Quebec – 2012 2

After 9 years of power the Liberal Party of Quebec faces one of the greatest political crisis Canada ever saw. The students of Quebec are fighting against the raise of tuitons fees of 1625$ to an unprecedent amount of 3946$ per year. The pro independence Parti Québécois which leads the Official Oppositon and which faced one of its most historic crush in opinion polls took the side of the students like Quebec Solidaire. The new Coalition Avenir Quebec -a nationalist party- which started high in polls and led by the former pequist minister François Legault is now third in opinion polls and the Liberal Party faces the lowest opinion polls never received due to the scandals of corruption and the student crisis.

Can the PQ uses this crisis and at its benefit? Can the CAQ moves back first in opinion polls? Can the LPQ return the crisis at its benefit? Even more, the independentists of Quebec are now divided. The new Option Nationale -extremely independendist- and led by the former Pequist MP Jean Martin Aussant is winning supports among youngs, and Quebec Solidaire -also independentist- is increasing its supports. Despite the strategic vote, can they take votes to the Left, and essentially, the Parti Quebecois? Can the Parti Quebecois stops their expansion? The divided race is now open!

EVENTS:

-Dissolution asked by Jean Charest

-The Student Crisis

-Jean Charest: Pauline Marois wants a referendum on sovereignty!

-François Legault makes huge gains among independent voters

-Anticipation vote opens