Quebec 2018 – Change has come (events added)

Quebec – 2018 mod

In 2018, change is the keyword for the Quebec election. After being in power for 13 of the last 15 years (and the last 4 years), the incumbent Liberal party (PLQ) suffers from low approval ratings . Since autumn 2017, the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), with François Legault as leader, has been ahead of the PLQ in almost all the polls, with the Parti Québécois (PQ) – currently the official opposition – significantly behind them in third. Quebec Solidaire (QS), meanwhile, has merged with the independentist party Option Nationale, and is in fourth. It seems to be a two-way race between CAQ and PLQ, but with a lot of undecideds, the result is nowhere near certain. Will the CAQ be able to maintain its lead without alienating its base? Will the PLQ be able to win despite a historically low approval rate? Will the PQ be able to buck the trend and to keep its current seats, or even increase them? And finally, will QS be able to finally gain a seat outside Montreal?

Events :

Gertrude Bourdon announces she will run with PLQ, not CAQ

Le Bouyonec to resign, Eric Caire in trouble over a loan

Lisée won the Radio Canada debate

Manon Massé is impressive

Legault considered as unclear on immigration

Lisée asks Massé who rules Quebec solidaire during the third debate, the question is considered out of the corner by the animator

Medias start seeking who rules Quebec Solidaire

Premier Philippe Couillard under controversy : He tells a complete family can live with 75 canadian dollars by week.

Quebecers tell they want change

Here is a video like always from the party which won the election:

 

1995 – Quebec Independence Referendum

1995 – Quebec Independence Referendum

Click Here to Download the Scenario: Quebec – 1995 Referendum

After the Parti Quebecois’ victory under Jacques Parizeau in the 1994 election and the triumph of Lucien Bouchard’s Bloc Quebecois in Quebec at the 1993 federal election, another referendum on Quebec independence was inevitable. The idea was initially unpopular and debate surrounding the referendum question and the style of the yes campaign lead to the referendum date being pushed back to autumn 1995. Parizeau has decided to go ahead with the referendum for October 30th and although the yes campaign is behind there is some expectation that Bouchard’s involvement in the campaign will give yes a boost. Will the no side hold on or will the yes side realise their long held dream?

Le Comité National du OUI

  • Premier Jacques Parizeau MNA (Parti Quebecois)
  • Hon. Lucien Bouchard MP (Bloc Quebecois)
  • Mr. Mario Dumont MNA (Action Democratique du Quebec)

Comité des Québécoises et des Québécois pour le NON

  • Hon. Daniel Johnson MNA (Parti Liberal du Quebec)
  • P.M. Jean Chretien MP (Liberal Party of Canada)
  • Hon. Jean Charest MP (Progressive Conservative Party of Canada)

Replies and Feedback Welcome

Click Here to Download the Scenario: Quebec – 1995 Referendum

Quebec 2012 provincial Election (for Infinity version)

Quebec – 2012 2

After 9 years of power the Liberal Party of Quebec faces one of the greatest political crisis Canada ever saw. The students of Quebec are fighting against the raise of tuitons fees of 1625$ to an unprecedent amount of 3946$ per year. The pro independence Parti Québécois which leads the Official Oppositon and which faced one of its most historic crush in opinion polls took the side of the students like Quebec Solidaire. The new Coalition Avenir Quebec -a nationalist party- which started high in polls and led by the former pequist minister François Legault is now third in opinion polls and the Liberal Party faces the lowest opinion polls never received due to the scandals of corruption and the student crisis.

Can the PQ uses this crisis and at its benefit? Can the CAQ moves back first in opinion polls? Can the LPQ return the crisis at its benefit? Even more, the independentists of Quebec are now divided. The new Option Nationale -extremely independendist- and led by the former Pequist MP Jean Martin Aussant is winning supports among youngs, and Quebec Solidaire -also independentist- is increasing its supports. Despite the strategic vote, can they take votes to the Left, and essentially, the Parti Quebecois? Can the Parti Quebecois stops their expansion? The divided race is now open!

EVENTS:

-Dissolution asked by Jean Charest

-The Student Crisis

-Jean Charest: Pauline Marois wants a referendum on sovereignty!

-François Legault makes huge gains among independent voters

-Anticipation vote opens

Manitoba – 2016

Having rather caught the bug for scenario making, I moved on to Manitoba and present here a scenario for the 2016 general election in which the Progressive Conservatives defeated the NDP government.

Feedback of all sorts gratefully received, particularly with regards to issues and endorsers as I am sure there people out there with far more knowledge than I as to the intricacies of Manitoba politics.

Manitoba – 2016

 

PEI – 2015

A week or so ago, I thought I would try my hand at making a map and a scenario for PMI Canada, with the result being a scenario for Prince Edward Island’s 2015 general election, found below.

Any and all feedback anyone has to offer would be very helpful and very gratefully received – the issues are just the basic ones from the Canadian federal scenarios with those only relevant to the federal government removed and the only local endorsers I have are the two newspapers from Charlottetown and Summerside so any help there would be great!

PEI – 2015

Ontario 2018

Change is in the air. Ontarians have grown tired of the Liberals after 15 years in office. The Tories have just finished a tumultuous leadership race to replace the disgraced former leader, Patrick Brown. Can they maintain their 20 point lead or will Kathleen Wynne defy the odds and win re-election? It is Andrea Horwathís third election as NDP leader. Can the New Democrats capitalise on the unpopularity of the Liberals and chaos in the Conservative Party or will they remain the third party? It is far from certain who will lead the next government and if it will be a minority or majority government.

Ontario 2018

 

Nova Scotia 2017

During their term in office, the Liberals regularly polled above 50%. However, recent labour disputes with the NSTU has resulted in a slip in Liberal support. There are now talks about the possibility of Liberal minority or even a change in government. Can Stephen McNeil reverse these trends or will he be the leader of second one term government in recent history?

Nova Scotia- 2017