Category Archives: 3. Prime Minister Infinity

Bahamas – 2007

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Bahamas – 2007

Embroiled in political scandal surrounding the fast tracking of the residency application for Anna Nicole Smith, the Christie administration is now up for reelection. Former Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham has reentered front-line politics after a brief hiatus, and will lead the Free National Movement into the upcoming general election. The Bahamas Democratic Movement, a small third party option for Bahamians disaffected with both the PLP and FNM, will contest several seats as well. In addition to the Anna Nicole Smith scandal, voters will have to decide between the two parties on many other issues, such as economic policy, the financial services sector, and environmental issues among others. Will Bahamians be content with the steady economic growth of the past five years, or will political scandal and perceptions of poor governance mark the end of the Christie administration?

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Bahamas Democratic Movement
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Senator Orville “Tommy” Turnquest
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Minister of Health and National Insurance Dr. Bernard Nottage
    • Bahamas Democratic Movement
      • Cassius Stuart
  • Updated Issues and Party Platforms
  • Updated map with 2007 constituencies
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below.  I have redesigned the map due to difficulties in obtaining exact boundaries for Bahamian constituencies during this era.

A non-binding plan of action (depending on the amount of my personal time available) for further scenarios is as follows :

  • North Abaco – 2012 by-election
  • Elizabeth – 2010 by-election
  • Jamaica – 2016
  • Jamaica – 2011
  • Turks and Caicos – 2016
  • Trinidad and Tobago – 2015

I do not want to mention any further scenarios due to the risk of overextending myself given the amount of time that it takes to produce these. There may be deviations from this list, but these are what I hopefully have time to produce in the coming months.

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Bahamas – 2012

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Bahamas – 2012

After 5 years in government, the Bahamian electorate is divided on Prime Minister Ingraham’s latest term in office.  Growing Chinese influence, and a rising national debt in the wake of the 2008 Recession, have many voters unsure of whether they will back the Prime Minister for another term in office.  The Progressive Liberal Party have rebounded from their 2007 electoral loss, and are set to challenge the Prime Minister on his most recent governing record.  According to the latest polls, the race appears to be neck and neck with both the Progressive Liberal Party and Free National Movement vying to attract independent voters into their respective corners.  A brand new third-party, the Democratic National Alliance, led by Member Of Parliament for Bamboo Town Branville McCartney has emerged onto the political scene following internal disputes within the FNM.  Seemingly attracting a strong amount of support, combined with high voter frustration, will they spoil the election for either major party? 

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Democratic National Alliance
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
      • Minister Of National Security Tommy Turnquest
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Hon. Dr. Bernard Nottage
      • Hon. Shane Gibson
    • Democratic National Alliance
      • Branville McCartney
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
      • Ali McIntosh
  • Updated Endorsers
  • Updated Issues and Party Platforms
  • Map of the Bahamas with 2012 constituency boundaries
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below.  Based off of feedback received from the 2017 scenario, I have reduced the costs of advertising.

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Canada 1997

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Feel free to give feedback 🙂

Cuts to programs, a near miss in the Québec referendum, and a rapidly falling defecit have been the hallmarks of Jean Chrétien’s first mandate, and not all voters are happy about it. While Reform attempts to “break out” of the West into Ontario, the PCs and NDP try and rebuild from their disastrous 1993 finishes and the Bloc attempts to keep on despite the loss of Bouchard. Will Chrétien hold on? Prime Minister Jean Chrétien seeks his second term. The PC party, led by the popular Jean Charest, is hoping to rebound from its disastrous 1993 campaign. Can the Reform Party displace the Bloc and become the Official Opposition? Will the NDP be able to build a strong base in the Maritimes, and regain lost ground?

Canada – 1997Download

Bahamas – 2017

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Bahamas – 2017

After 5 years in government, the ruling Progressive Liberal Party remains deeply unpopular with the Bahamian electorate. Allegations of corruption, and a high level of mistrust from Bahamian voters, continue to dog the party as the general election approaches. On the other hand, the opposition Free National Movement continues to struggle with internal disarray as their candidate for the general election, the Hon. Hubert Minnis, recently lost a vote of no confidence to remain as the sitting Leader of the Opposition in the House Of Assembly. Can the FNM quiet their internal struggles to proceed as a unified party into the upcoming election, or will the PLP win another 5 years of governance?

Scenario Features Include :

  • Bahamian Political Parties :
    • Free National Movement
    • Progressive Liberal Party
    • Democratic National Alliance
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
    • Independents
    • Parliamentary Commissioner (Observer)
  • Bahamian Political Leaders :
    • Free National Movement :
      • Hon. Hubert Minnis
      • Hon. Loretta Butler-Turner
      • Fmr. Prime Minister Hubert Ingraham
      • Fmr. Deputy Prime Minister Brent Symonette
    • Progressive Liberal Party :
      • Rt. Hon. Prime Minister Perry Christie
      • Deputy Prime Minister Philip “Brave” Davis
      • Hon. Alfred Sears
      • Hon. MoFA & Immigration Fred Mitchell
    • Democratic National Alliance
      • Branville McCartney
    • Bahamas Constitutional Party
      • Ali McIntosh
  • Variety Of Bahamian Endorsers
  • Noteworthy Bahamian Events
  • Bahamian Issues and Party Platforms
  • Map of the Bahamas with 2017 constituency boundaries
  • Observer Party
  • and much more!

Please feel free to leave any feedback, concerns, constructive criticism, or comments below. This is my first publicly released scenario, so any feedback goes a long way in helping me to refine my work!

Hope that everyone is able to enjoy!

Regards,

CPE (Caribbean Political Enthusiast)

Québec 1994 OUI AU CHANGEMENT !

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Quebec – 1994Download


After 9 years in power, the Liberals of Quebec are aweakened. Despite holding 88 seats, the Canadian constitutionnal crisis and the reject of Brian Mulroney’s Meech Lake accord boosted sovereignism in Quebec to an unprecendent approval support.

The Pequists, led by the very independentist Jacques Parizeau are expecting and willing to make big gains. A year ago, in 1993, the Bloc Québécois with Lucien Bouchard got 50,3% of the vote in Quebec and almost 2 millions votes, winning 54 federal seats and forming the official opposition in Ottawa.

The victory of the PQ has to be the second step of independentist walk, the third will be a referendum in 1995 on sovereignty organized by the government of Quebec. Can the pequists get the second step of the sovereignist walk to independence?

This election is crucial because the sovereignists can’t hold any referendum on sovereignty without winning Quebec’s parliament. The Liberals, without their historical leader, Robert Bourassa, are now led by the last Johnson, Daniel Johnson Jr.
His short term of a year as incumbent Premier didn’t give him the time to deliver a complete strategy against sovereignists but Liberals are up since spring.

The former Liberal youth president Mario Dumont has left his party and is now leading the Action Democratique du Quebec.
Can this young and fresh politician wins his seat of Rivière-du-Loup?
This francophone right-wing party is, for itself, unclear about independence.

The famour polemist and radio animator, André Arthur is also declared as independent candidate and wants to win his seat of Louis-Hebert, local polls give him a solid 27% behind the Parti Québécois.

Will the Pequist prevail? Or the Liberals? Or will the ADQ be able to win enough seats to become the King Maker in this crucial election for Quebec’s future? And what about André Arthur’s bet?

United Kingdom 2019 – Improved Percentages

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An exact carbon copy of the official 2019 scenario, but with improved percentage numbers – the base scenario uses a uniform swing but constituency polls have shown that this doesn’t produce accurate results. Numbers based off all publicly available Constituency and MRP polls, with some discretion used.

Download here: http://campaigns.270soft.com/united-kingdom-2019-5/

Alberta – 2015

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Alberta’s 2015 Provincial Election saw the defeat of the Provincial Conservatives by Rachel Notley’s New Democrat Party.

I’ve remade the Alberta – 2015 scenario created by RI Democrat from the PM4E 2011 engine.

Polling data is the 2015 election results as taken from https://www.elections.ab.ca/ but I’ve added a polling shift to reflect a Mainstreet poll on the 7th April start date which puts the PC, WRP and NDP at a roughly even split (small WRP lead).

Can you win as the NDP and end the political dominance of the PC’s in Alberta or will the PCs retain power? Maybe The Wildrose Party will take the Conservative baton forward?

2015 – AlbertaDownload

Israel September 2019 Election

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While Netanyahu won earlier this year, he couldn’t form a coalition and thus called for another snap election in September as a hail mary in hopes of securing a majority coalition that will help him weather the corruption scandals engulfing his rule. The relatively young Blue and White alliance has rose to prominence last election as a united front of moderates both left and right to oppose Netanyahu and are now ready for round two, who will win in this decisive election?

Another update, some rebalancing, readjusted population numbers to be more accurate

http://campaigns.270soft.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Israel-2019-2-6.zip

1982 – Glasgow Hillhead By-Election

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1982 – Glasgow Hillhead By-Election

Glasgow-Hillhead-1982-2Download

Glasgow Hillhead is one of the few Tory safe seats in Glasgow but this by-election comes at a tumultuous time for the Conservatives and Labour who have both fallen behind the SDP-Liberal Alliance in the polls. The vacant seat attracted the nation’s attention after Roy Jenkins, the de-facto leader of the SDP, decided to try and regain a place in Parliament through Hillhead. Can the Tories hold on to the seat, can the SDP get Jenkins back into Parliament or will Labour come through the middle and get a much needed boost?

Parties and Candidates: 

  • Conservative – Gerry Malone
  • SDP – Roy Jenkins
  • Labour – David Wiseman
  • SNP – George Leslie

The 1982 Glasgow Hillhead By-Election marked former Labour Minister Roy Jenkins’ return to Parliament as de-facto leader of the newly formed SDP. The SDP, a centrist breakaway from the Labour Party, were performing well in the polls and at the time of the by-election, many considered Jenkins to be the Prime Minister in waiting. This changed just weeks later after the Falklands War and the revival of fortunes for the Conservatives. This campaign was an important moment in Scottish politics and in the history of the SDP.

Replies and Feedback are Welcome!

Glasgow-Hillhead-1982-2Download