The Conservative minority government has announced that no deal has been reached with the EU just over two months before the Article 50 deadline. Without a majority for any kind of Brexit deal in parliament, it is time for the British public to return to the polls and break the Brexit deadlock once and for all.
The balance of seats is actually taken from polling in September 2018 but is not implausible.
New leaders since 2017 – Sian Berry, Adam Price and Mary Lou MacDonald. Some possible leaders – James Cleverly, Emily Thornberry and Layla Moran…
The tendency towards two party politics also means that three campaigners are available to the Conservative and Labour leaders, representing their most senior allies. Facebook and Twitter have been added to the endorsers, as social media advertising is influential.
It’s what it says on the tin, this adds new leaders for both the major parties as well as some minor parties. In the near future I will add bios for the present leaders. I plan on adding more leaders, and diversifying the independent party (add minor parties and ideologically specific independents) sometime in the future.
After the Parti Quebecois’ victory under Jacques Parizeau in the 1994 election and the triumph of Lucien Bouchard’s Bloc Quebecois in Quebec at the 1993 federal election, another referendum on Quebec independence was inevitable. The idea was initially unpopular and debate surrounding the referendum question and the style of the yes campaign lead to the referendum date being pushed back to autumn 1995. Parizeau has decided to go ahead with the referendum for October 30th and although the yes campaign is behind there is some expectation that Bouchard’s involvement in the campaign will give yes a boost. Will the no side hold on or will the yes side realise their long held dream?
Le Comité National du OUI
Premier Jacques Parizeau MNA (Parti Quebecois)
Hon. Lucien Bouchard MP (Bloc Quebecois)
Mr. Mario Dumont MNA (Action Democratique du Quebec)
Comité des Québécoises et des Québécois pour le NON
Hon. Daniel Johnson MNA (Parti Liberal du Quebec)
P.M. Jean Chretien MP (Liberal Party of Canada)
Hon. Jean Charest MP (Progressive Conservative Party of Canada)
Wales overwhelmingly rejected a devolved assembly in 1979 by a margin of 80%-20%. After Tony Blair won the general election of May 1997, part of his vision for a ‘New Britain’ includes devolved institutions in Scotland and Wales. Scotland is very likely to accept both a Parliament and tax raising powers for a devolved parliament but Wales tends to be more sceptical of devolution. Labour and the Liberal Democrats are pushing hard for a yes vote and Plaid Cymru has reluctantly accepted Labour’s proposals even though they don’t think the plans go far enough. Meanwhile the no campaign is mainly made up of Conservatives but was formed by dissident Labour members, Carys Pugh and Betty Bowen, in the working class Labour stronghold of the Rhondda. They are less well organised than the establishment backed yes campaign but are nevertheless confident of victory. Can the yes campaign win in Wales or will the no side deal the first blow to Tony Blair and his New Labour government?
After 9 years of power the Liberal Party of Quebec faces one of the greatest political crisis Canada ever saw. The students of Quebec are fighting against the raise of tuitons fees of 1625$ to an unprecedent amount of 3946$ per year. The pro independence Parti Québécois which leads the Official Oppositon and which faced one of its most historic crush in opinion polls took the side of the students like Quebec Solidaire. The new Coalition Avenir Quebec -a nationalist party- which started high in polls and led by the former pequist minister François Legault is now third in opinion polls and the Liberal Party faces the lowest opinion polls never received due to the scandals of corruption and the student crisis.
Can the PQ uses this crisis and at its benefit? Can the CAQ moves back first in opinion polls? Can the LPQ return the crisis at its benefit? Even more, the independentists of Quebec are now divided. The new Option Nationale -extremely independendist- and led by the former Pequist MP Jean Martin Aussant is winning supports among youngs, and Quebec Solidaire -also independentist- is increasing its supports. Despite the strategic vote, can they take votes to the Left, and essentially, the Parti Quebecois? Can the Parti Quebecois stops their expansion? The divided race is now open!
-Dissolution asked by Jean Charest
-The Student Crisis
-Jean Charest: Pauline Marois wants a referendum on sovereignty!
-François Legault makes huge gains among independent voters
Here is the New Brunswick 2014 general election in which the real result was that the Liberals won a reasonably narrow majority and made the Alward government the second in a row, and second in provincial history, to only serve one term.
Having rather caught the bug for scenario making, I moved on to Manitoba and present here a scenario for the 2016 general election in which the Progressive Conservatives defeated the NDP government.
Feedback of all sorts gratefully received, particularly with regards to issues and endorsers as I am sure there people out there with far more knowledge than I as to the intricacies of Manitoba politics.