United Kingdom – 2019

The Conservative minority government has announced that no deal has been reached with the EU just over two months before the Article 50 deadline. Without a majority for any kind of Brexit deal in parliament, it is time for the British public to return to the polls and break the Brexit deadlock once and for all.

United Kingdom – 2019

The balance of seats is actually taken from polling in September 2018 but is not implausible.

New leaders since 2017 – Sian Berry, Adam Price and Mary Lou MacDonald. Some possible leaders – James Cleverly, Emily Thornberry and Layla Moran…

The tendency towards two party politics also means that three campaigners are available to the Conservative and Labour leaders, representing their most senior allies. Facebook and Twitter have been added to the endorsers, as social media advertising is influential.

2010 – Australia House of Representatives

In preparation for a possible addition of the Preference vote for Australia, I’ve decided to port over some of the old Australia scenario’s from the earlier PMI, PM4E versions.

I am porting the 2010 – Australia House of Representatives.

Major differences from the original scenario;

  • Official polling data/turnout/electorates from the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC)
  • Addition of the AEC as an observer party

This will be updated should the preferences system be finalized to take into account the new feature.

I have updated the 2013 election file also to include a logo for the AEC.

2010 – Australia

UK – 2017 New Leaders

It’s what it says on the tin, this adds new leaders for both the major parties as well as some minor parties. In the near future I will add bios for the present leaders. I plan on adding more leaders, and diversifying the independent party (add minor parties and ideologically specific independents) sometime in the future.

United Kingdom – 2017 More Leaders

 

Updated: September 12 2018

Adjusts Leader attributes for Liam Fox and Hilary Benn.

Added David Cameron, John McDonnell, and Vince Cable.

 

2013 – Australia House of Representatives

In preparation for a possible addition of the Preference vote for Australia, I’ve decided to port over some of the old Australia scenario’s from the earlier PMI, PM4E versions.

I start with the 2013 – Australia House of Representatives.

Major differences from the original scenario;

  • Official polling data/turnout/electorates from the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC)
  • Addition of the AEC as an observer party (updated on 27/09/18 with AEC logo)
  • Extra endorsers
  • Populations set as the same as the eligible voters (couldn’t find data for the individual divisions.)

This will be updated should the preferences system be finalized to take into account the new feature.

2013 – Australia

1995 – Quebec Independence Referendum

1995 – Quebec Independence Referendum

Click Here to Download the Scenario: Quebec – 1995 Referendum

After the Parti Quebecois’ victory under Jacques Parizeau in the 1994 election and the triumph of Lucien Bouchard’s Bloc Quebecois in Quebec at the 1993 federal election, another referendum on Quebec independence was inevitable. The idea was initially unpopular and debate surrounding the referendum question and the style of the yes campaign lead to the referendum date being pushed back to autumn 1995. Parizeau has decided to go ahead with the referendum for October 30th and although the yes campaign is behind there is some expectation that Bouchard’s involvement in the campaign will give yes a boost. Will the no side hold on or will the yes side realise their long held dream?

Le Comité National du OUI

  • Premier Jacques Parizeau MNA (Parti Quebecois)
  • Hon. Lucien Bouchard MP (Bloc Quebecois)
  • Mr. Mario Dumont MNA (Action Democratique du Quebec)

Comité des Québécoises et des Québécois pour le NON

  • Hon. Daniel Johnson MNA (Parti Liberal du Quebec)
  • P.M. Jean Chretien MP (Liberal Party of Canada)
  • Hon. Jean Charest MP (Progressive Conservative Party of Canada)

Replies and Feedback Welcome

Click Here to Download the Scenario: Quebec – 1995 Referendum

1997 – Welsh Devolution Referendum

1997 – Welsh Devolution Referendum

Click Here to Download the Scenario: Wales – 1997 Referendum

Wales overwhelmingly rejected a devolved assembly in 1979 by a margin of 80%-20%. After Tony Blair won the general election of May 1997, part of his vision for a ‘New Britain’ includes devolved institutions in Scotland and Wales. Scotland is very likely to accept both a Parliament and tax raising powers for a devolved parliament but Wales tends to be more sceptical of devolution. Labour and the Liberal Democrats are pushing hard for a yes vote and Plaid Cymru has reluctantly accepted Labour’s proposals even though they don’t think the plans go far enough. Meanwhile the no campaign is mainly made up of Conservatives but was formed by dissident Labour members, Carys Pugh and Betty Bowen, in the working class Labour stronghold of the Rhondda. They are less well organised than the establishment backed yes campaign but are nevertheless confident of victory. Can the yes campaign win in Wales or will the no side deal the first blow to Tony Blair and his New Labour government?

Yes For Wales Campaign

  • Rt. Hon. Ron Davies MP (Labour)
  • Rt. Hon. Dafydd Wigley MP (Plaid Cymru)
  • Rt. Hon. Peter Hain MP (Labour)
  • Mr. Leighton Andrews (Labour)

Just Say NO Campaign

  • Professor Nick Bourne (Conservative)
  • Mrs Carys Pugh (Labour)
  • Dr Tim Williams (Labour)
  • Mr. Robert Hodge

Replies and Feedback Welcome

Click Here to Download the Scenario: Wales – 1997 Referendum

Quebec 2012 provincial Election (for Infinity version)

Quebec – 2012 2

After 9 years of power the Liberal Party of Quebec faces one of the greatest political crisis Canada ever saw. The students of Quebec are fighting against the raise of tuitons fees of 1625$ to an unprecedent amount of 3946$ per year. The pro independence Parti Québécois which leads the Official Oppositon and which faced one of its most historic crush in opinion polls took the side of the students like Quebec Solidaire. The new Coalition Avenir Quebec -a nationalist party- which started high in polls and led by the former pequist minister François Legault is now third in opinion polls and the Liberal Party faces the lowest opinion polls never received due to the scandals of corruption and the student crisis.

Can the PQ uses this crisis and at its benefit? Can the CAQ moves back first in opinion polls? Can the LPQ return the crisis at its benefit? Even more, the independentists of Quebec are now divided. The new Option Nationale -extremely independendist- and led by the former Pequist MP Jean Martin Aussant is winning supports among youngs, and Quebec Solidaire -also independentist- is increasing its supports. Despite the strategic vote, can they take votes to the Left, and essentially, the Parti Quebecois? Can the Parti Quebecois stops their expansion? The divided race is now open!

EVENTS:

-Dissolution asked by Jean Charest

-The Student Crisis

-Jean Charest: Pauline Marois wants a referendum on sovereignty!

-François Legault makes huge gains among independent voters

-Anticipation vote opens

Manitoba – 2016

Having rather caught the bug for scenario making, I moved on to Manitoba and present here a scenario for the 2016 general election in which the Progressive Conservatives defeated the NDP government.

Feedback of all sorts gratefully received, particularly with regards to issues and endorsers as I am sure there people out there with far more knowledge than I as to the intricacies of Manitoba politics.

Manitoba – 2016