Ontario 2018

Change is in the air. Ontarians have grown tired of the Liberals after 15 years in office. The Tories have just finished a tumultuous leadership race to replace the disgraced former leader, Patrick Brown. Can they maintain their 20 point lead or will Kathleen Wynne defy the odds and win re-election? It is Andrea Horwathís third election as NDP leader. Can the New Democrats capitalise on the unpopularity of the Liberals and chaos in the Conservative Party or will they remain the third party? It is far from certain who will lead the next government and if it will be a minority or majority government.

Ontario 2018

London 2018 local elections scenario!

A new scenario from our neck of the woods! London has critical local elections coming up in just a couple of weeks time (2nd May: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_local_elections,_2018 )

Can Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party inflict severe losses upon the Conservatives, led by Theresa May? The contest is heating up for several conservative controlled councils, with the Tories heading for their worst ever result in the capital city. Can Labour take the critical Tory councils of Barnett, Wandsworth, Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea and Hillingdon and show that it is on the way to a general election victory? Or will Theresa May and the Tories hang onto most of their councils and take the steam out of the Labour steamroller? Will the Liberal Democrats be able to capitalise on the anti Brexit tide, or will it be the Greens or UKIP who become the 3rd party in London instead?

Last local elections: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_local_elections,_2014

A good night for Labour: Taking Barnett, Tower Hamlets, and at least three other of the councils. Inflicting losses of above 200 Councillors on the Tories would inflict severe damage on the Conservative Party.

A good night for the Conservatives: Holding onto all or most of their councils and (At worst) losing Barnett, but taking back Havering from the independents. Fighting off the Liberal Democrats in Richmond and Kingston. Losses of less than 100, or potential gains, would be a very good result.

A good night for the Liberal Democrats: Holding onto Sutton, winning Richmond and Kingston Upon Thames would show that the anti Brexit vote is in full swing

A good night for the Greens/UKIP: Winning anything at all.

Screenshots:

 

Click here to download this scenario: 2018-London Local elections

Italian General election 2018 scenario!

This is my first ever scenario! I have made a scenario for the Italian general election which occurred last week. Unfortunately there were a few glitches (E.g if you want to see an overall picture of the election in Italy you have to click on the black spaces between the electoral regions, otherwise for some reason it keeps showing the Piedmont result). Here are some screenshots and the download link. Enjoy!

 

 

 

Italy election 2018 download here

Nova Scotia 2017

During their term in office, the Liberals regularly polled above 50%. However, recent labour disputes with the NSTU has resulted in a slip in Liberal support. There are now talks about the possibility of Liberal minority or even a change in government. Can Stephen McNeil reverse these trends or will he be the leader of second one term government in recent history?

Nova Scotia- 2017

UK-2005

After two landslide victories over the Tories in 1997 and 2001, Tony Blair’s Labour looks to be in a more precarious position going into the 2005 General Election. Britain’s controversial intervention in Iraq with the USA has seen the Prime Minister’s popularity plummet, and the government’s polling lead narrow significantly as the troubled Tory opposition restores some semblance of unity under former Home Secretary Michael Howard, and the Lib Dems take advantage of their anti war stance to increase their support.

Can Labour overcome their difficulties to win a record breaking third term in the style of their past two triumphs? Or will the Tories be able to bridge the gap and form their first government in eight years? And can charismatic Scot Charles Kennedy lead his Lib Dems to he breakthrough to major party status that they have been aspiring to for so long?

 

United Kingdom – 2005