New York City Mayoral Election 12-15-17

new york city mayoral 2017 update 12-15-17

This is an update to my original NYC Mayoral Election scenario. Changes include:

  • Starting percentages equal to real-life results
  • Malliotakis moved to top of Republican listing of candidates
  • Richard Bashner added as “on” candidate
  • Robert Gangi added as “on” candidate
  • Michael Tolkin added as “on” candidate
  • Don Peebles turned “off”
  • All Republicans turned “off” except Malliotakis and Massey
  • Parties reordered
  • Turnout adjusted
  • Aaron Commey added as Libertarian nominee
  • Michael Tolkin added as independent
  • Sal Albanese added as Reform nominee
  • Independent parties renamed to Mayoral Lines
  • Primary percentages adjusted
  • Adjusted money coefficient
  • Removed Reform Party endorser
  • Modified primary delegates and turnout

My Confederate Series – 1879

My Confederate Series – 1879

In 1873, Secretary of State John C. Breckinridge was elected to be the 4th President of the Confederate States of America and Secretary of War Richard Taylor of Louisiana was elected to be the 2nd Vice President. However, the past 6 years have been very turbulent, with not one, but two more Presidents dying in office. The chaos started on May 17, 1875, when President Breckinridge died from complications of surgery, elevating Vice President Taylor to the Presidency. But on April 12, 1879, 7 months before the election of 1879, President Taylor also died, resulting in the President pro tempore of the Senate (next in the line of succession), Sen. John B. Gordon, becoming the 6th President of the Confederate States. Also, Missouri (1875), Tennessee (1878), and Kentucky (1879) have all abolished slavery with other states expected to follow, mostly as a result of a major depression sapping the country’s economy. The opposition parties, the New Republican party, the Confederate American party, and the Liberty party, are expected to garner more support combined than the Democratic party, resulting in what is expected to be the closest election in the country’s young history. Can President Gordon beat out General Beauregard for the Democratic nomination and win the Presidency in his own right, or will the CSA have its first non-Democratic President? Candidates are as follows:

Democrats

  • Gen. P.G.T. Beauregard
  • Pres. John B. Gordon (ascended to the Presidency through the line of succession, therefore eligible for election)
  • Fmr. Sen. John W. Stevenson
  • Sen. Matt Ransom
  • Associate Justice David M. Key
  • Fmr. Gov. James M. Smith

What-if?s

  • Pres. Richard Taylor (ascended to the Presidency through the line of succession, therefore eligible for election, had he not died)
  • Rep. Robert Jefferson Breckinridge Jr.

New Republicans

  • Fmr. Sen. James Alcorn
  • Fmr. Rep. Alexander S. Wallace
  • Fmr. Rep. George Harris
  • Att. Gen. William H. Hunt
  • Fmr. Rep. George Washington Logan

Confederate American

  • Fmr. Gov. Joe Brown
  • Sen. Zebulon Baird Vance

Liberty Party

  • Rep. Joseph Rainey

My Confederate Series – 1873

My Confederate Series – 1873

In 1867, General Robert E. Lee was elected President of the Confederate States. He chose to keep many members of the Davis administration, with Vice President Alexander Stephens being reelected and Secretary of War John C. Breckinridge being appointed Secretary of State. But on October 12, 1870, President Lee died from the effects of pneumonia shortly after suffering a stroke, elevating Stephens to the Presidency. President Stephens has chosen not to run for the Presidency in his own right, leaving Secretary Breckinridge as the front-runner to become the next President as the country’s economy seems to be taking a dive.  Candidates are as follows:

Democrats

  • Sec. of State John C. Breckinridge
  • Sec. of the Treasury Robert M.T. Hunter
  • Spkr. Thomas Bocock
  • Gen. Nathan Bedford Forrest
  • Sen. Robert W. Johnson
  • Sen. Augustus Maxwell
  • Pres. Alexander Stephens (what-if?)

Whigs

  • Fmr. Gov. Joe Brown
  • Sen. James W. Flanagan
  • Fmr. Sen. Joshua Hill
  • Rep. George Washington Logan

 

My Confederate Series – 1867

With President Jefferson Davis term-limited, the race to become the 2nd President is wide-open. However, three men have separated themselves from the pack: Vice President Alexander Stephens, Secretary of War John C. Breckinridge, and General Robert E. Lee. Can one of these men carry on Davis’s leadership and prevent the downfall of the Confederacy?  The candidates are as follows:

Democrats

  • VP Alexander Stephens
  • Gen. Robert E. Lee
  • Sec. John C. Breckinridge
  • Sen. Robert M.T. Hunter
  • Fmr. Sec. Robert Toombs
  • Fmr. Sen. C.C. Clay Jr.
  • Sen. Louis Wigfall
  • Gov. Thomas Watts
  • Sen. Herschel Johnson
  • Att. Gen. George Davis
  • Gen. Joseph E. Johnston

Whigs

  • Gov. Joe Brown
  • Sen. William Graham
  • Rep. George Washington Logan

My Confederate Series – 1867

New York City Mayoral Election Update

new york city mayoral 2017 update 7-8-17

This is an update to this scenario http://campaigns.270soft.com/2017/01/19/new-york-city-mayoral-election-2017/

Changes:

  • Updated polling for General Election
  • Updated polling for primaries
  • Changed to popular vote
  • Bo Dietl added as independent
  • Preet Bharara added as “off” candidate
  • Rocky De La Fuente added as “on” candidate
  • Nicole Malliotakis added as “on” candidate
  • Added Green Party
  • Akeem Browder added as “on” candidate
  • Changed candidates who withdrew before last start date (May 1) to “off”
  • Fixed primary date
  • Voter turnout dropped to a more realistic number
  • Ulrich endorses Dietl
  • Add Erica Garner as endorser
  • Add Reform Party of New York as endorser

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Election 2018

massachusetts-gubernatorial-2018

Will Charlie Baker, one of the country’s most popular governor, win reelection in one of the bluest states in the nation?  Or will the Democrats take back the Governorship?  Or could a Republican challenger defeat Baker?  Candidates include:

Republicans

  • Governor Charlie Baker
  • former Senator Scott Brown (off)
  • former Governor Mitt Romney (off)
  • former State Senator Richard Tisei (off)
  • former Governor Bill Weld (off)
  • Lieutenant Governor Karyn Polito (off)
  • former Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey (off)

Democrats

  • Attorney General Maura Healey
  • Mayor Setti Warren
  • former Secretary Jay Gonzalez
  • former State Senator Dan Wolf
  • Dr. Joseph Avellone
  • Representative Joseph P. Kennedy III (off)
  • former Senator John Kerry (off)
  • former Governor Deval Patrick (off)
  • Mayor Marty Walsh (off)
  • Representative Seth Moulton (off)
  • Mayor Kim Driscoll (off)
  • Mayor Joseph Curtatone (off)
  • Auditor Suzanne Bump (off)
  • former Assistant Secretary Juliette Kayyem (off)

United Independents

  • Mr. Evan Falchuk (off)

Green-Rainbow

  • Dr. Jill Stein (off)

Updates will be made to this scenario, so feel free to leave suggestions in the comments

New York City Mayoral Election 2017

new york city mayoral 2017

Despite dropping approval ratings, incumbent Mayor Bill de Blasio is still the favorite to win the election.  Can he fight off challengers within his own party AND a republican candidate?  Candidates include:

Democrats

  • Mayor Bill de Blasio
  • former Secretary Hillary Clinton (off)
  • Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr.
  • Comptroller Scott Stringer (off)
  • State Senator Tony Avella
  • former Detective Bo Dietl
  • former Councilmember Sal Albanese
  • former Secretary Shaun Donovan (off)
  • former Representative Harold Ford Jr. (off)
  • Public Advocate Letitia James (off)
  • Representative Hakeem Jeffries (off)
  • Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito (off)
  • Mr. Don Peebles (off)
  • former Speaker Christine Quinn (off)
  • Mr. Josh Thompson
  • former Representative Anthony Weiner (off)

Republicans

  • former Commissioner Raymond Kelly
  • Mr. John Catsimatidis
  • Councilmember Eric Ulrich
  • Mr. Paul Massey
  • Mr. Donald Trump Jr.
  • Reverend Michel Faulkner
  • Mr. Darren Aquino

Updates will be made to this scenario, so feel free to leave suggestions in the comments

 

Republic of Texas 2026

republic-of-texas-2026

In 2022, frontrunner and Tea Partier Ted Cruz won the Presidency. However, shortly after reaching the pinnacle of his political career, Texas’s economy plundered, and so did his approval ratings. Only 18 months into his Presidency, the unemployment rate has skyrocketed to 15% and Cruz has Texas on the brink of war with the United States, resulting in a very poor approval rating hovering around 25%. Because of this, many Tea Partiers have disavowed President Cruz and most members have ditched the party for the Republicans.  Even his Vice President, Ken Paxton, is considering a run against him.  The candidates are as follows:

Tea Party

  • President Ted Cruz
  • Vice President Ken Paxton (undecided)
  • Territorial Senator Debra Medina

Republicans

  • Governor and former Vice President John Ratcliffe
  • Governor Scott Turner
  • Mr. Salem Abraham
  • Territorial Senator Blake Farenthold (former Tea Party candidate)
  • Secretary of Agriculture Sid Miller
  • Chief Justice of the Supreme Court Wallace B. Jefferson
  • Territorial Senator Pete Olson
  • Governor Four Price
  • former U.S. Representative Will Hurd
  • former Texas State Representative and Speaker Joe Straus
  • Governor Glenn Hegar
  • Territorial Senator Jeff Leach
  • Territorial Senator Jason Villalba

Progressives

  • former Governor Mike Rawlings
  • Senator Joaquin Castro
  • former Mayor of Houston Annise Parker
  • Governor Mary Gonzalez
  • Territorial Senator Borris Miles
  • Mr. Alex Mendoza

Blue Dogs

  • former Governor Ivy Taylor (former Progressive Party candidate)
  • Territorial Senator Filemon Vela Jr.
  • former U.S. Representative Pete Gallego

Reform Party

  • Mr. Ross Perot Jr.
  • Mr. Chris Keniston (off) (Perot’s running mate in 2022 and presumed running mate in 2026)

Texas Independent Party

  • Petty Officer Marcus Luttrell

Libertarians

  • Mayor John Ramsey
  • Mr. Rodney Caston

Green Party

  • Mrs. Kat Swift (former Progressive Party candidate)

 

Note:  This is my final Republic of Texas scenario.  My idea is that Joaquin Castro wins this election and, shortly thereafter, negotiates the annexation of Texas back into the United States.

Republic of Texas 2022

republic-of-texas-2022

In 2018, former U.S. President George W. Bush won the Presidency in a surprising upset of former U.S. Senator Ted Cruz.  Bush has had an uneventful but successful first term, with a thriving economy and an approval rating of 58%.  However, despite this, President Bush has opted to not run for reelection, citing his age (he’ll be 76 by the time of the election).  Once again, Ted Cruz is the favorite to win the election, but he is not without competition.  The following candidates are also running for the Presidency:

Tea Party

  • Governor Ted Cruz
  • Senator Pete Sessions
  • Senator Louie Gohmert
  • Territorial Senator Blake Farenthold
  • Senator John Culberson
  • Former Attorney General Ken Paxton
  • Former U.S. Representative Randy Weber

Republican

  • Secretary George P. Bush
  • Vice President John Ratcliffe
  • Senator Mac Thornberry
  • Former U.S. Governor Greg Abbott
  • Territorial Senator Bill Flores

Progressive

  • Governor Julian Castro
  • Senator Beto O’Rourke
  • Governor Mike Rawlings
  • Former U.S. Representative Marc Veasey
  • Former Governor Ivy Taylor
  • Territorial Senator Rodney Ellis
  • Mrs. Kat Swift

Blue Dog

  • Secretary Pete Geren
  • Senator Henry Cuellar
  • Territorial Senator Filemon Vela Jr.

Reform

  • Mr. Ross Perot Jr.
  • Mr. Chris Keniston

Libertarian

  • Mr. Michael Badnarik
  • Former LNC Vice Chairman R. Lee Wrights

Texas Independent

  • Petty Officer Marcus Luttrell
  • Reverend Scott Copeland

(Terr. Senator is equivalent to a State Senator, except they are more powerful and high profile because the country uses a unicameral legislature and only has 7 federal Senators)

After you’ve played the scenario please vote on this poll http://www.270soft.ipbhost.com/index.php?/topic/13229-poll-for-republic-of-texas-2022-scenario/