2020 Presidential Election (Beta)

(Edit: Moulton and Ryan added. Poll and fundraising numbers adjusted completely – May 10th)

(EDIT: fixed some obvious bias and added Weld as GOP contender and Inslee as a Democratic contender -March 3rd)

This is an updated and tweaked version of VCCzar’s 2020 Presidential Election.All the credit for the basis of which this version is based upon goes to him.  The region polls are tweaked to fit current data and Howard Schultz is added as an Independent candidate.

Additionally, most of the news articles are removed (I don’t want to predict the future) and more candidates are added to the Libertarian Party as well as AOC being included as an endorser. Some candidates (like Zuckerberg and the Rock as well as the numerous GOP candidates) have been removed for the sake of realism and I will add and subtract candidates as the race further develops.

The Republican primary obviously favors Trump with Kasich as “undecided’.

The general election will favor democrats but is winnable for Republicans if Trump gets his game going early on

That said, Here are the highlights:

Beto O’Rourke added

Adjusted polling numbers for both primaries and general election

Howard Schultz included as an Independent (I set him as off as this is still in the early stages being that we really have no idea how well he might do)

Endorsers are up to date and stats are more reflective of current events.

Some of the positions are fixed and some of the more “biased” bios are changed.

Update: Yang added and some other polling numbers tweaked.

2020 Presidential Election Update

26 thoughts on “2020 Presidential Election (Beta)

  1. Pretty good revamp of the 2020 scenario, especially regarding percentages for various candidates.

  2. This is great, I just want to point out that Ron Desantis is the governor of FL, not Andrew Gillum, not a big deal though.

  3. Thanks. I did want to leave Gilium as an endorser but I’ll upload one with Ron as gov as an edit by the end of this week at the latest

  4. This is really good! Working on my own scenario right now as well, it’s a slog renaming all of the Senators, Governors etc. and adding the candidates, but it’s looking good so far, can’t wait to drop it! Trying to include real events as they occur to go in addition to VCCzar’s version. What are you doing for General Election polling in states not polled yet? I only have found statewide of IA, NH, MI, OH, FL, TX, MA. Are you using Trump’s approval/disapproval in states as a proxy?

  5. @Owen G. I used his approval as a base but I also used the Democratic Party performance during 2018 as well as accounting for Trump’s performance in states like WI, PA, and MI in 2016.

  6. I’d recommend adding Bill Weld for the GOP (If you haven’t already done so) in light of today’s news.

  7. Wow, it’s pretty clear who you’re rooting for in 2020. Even as a conservative I try to be fair and even-handed. You have clearly not done that.

    * Trump corruption rating is only 9 in the mind of Adam Schiff. At most a 4.
    * Trump is actually center-left on things like LGBT, and drug laws, he has really taken no positions on student loans to justify a far-right rating.

  8. You should move Bill Weld from the Libertarians to being a republican, considering he’s running against Trump in the primaries.

  9. @David, sorry there’s still some bias in here as you have pointed out. The original version comes from VCczar and that version was fairly biased. I’m going to fix up some of this along with including Bill Weld in the Republicans among other things.

  10. Thank you for pointing this out. VCCzar’s version was quite biased and I apologize for not getting to this earlier. The newest version has centered Trump’s policies and he’s currently at a corruption level of 5, equal to that of Biden’s and less than Klobuchar’s and Booker’s.

  11. @tzmb As a suggestion for what I did to correct VCCzar’s (very biased) version. I made Trump corruption a 5, a little more than halfway, with Biden at 4 most of the rest of the Dem field at 3 besides Warren/Bernie at 2 who’ve done the swear off PAC money and everything. The only person with equal corruption I have is Hillary if you choose to play as her. Integrity I have at 2 (cheating on his wife, his taxes, his charitable donations). Obviously I have my own implicit bias, but I try and level it out in the game engine. To make up for his corruption/integrity numbers, he has very high charisma (8 or 9), the entire Republican platform lined up to his policies, in regions, 80% of Republicans are already decided for him, 10 leaning, and 10 undecided. Plus he has a wicked campaign infrastructure and Super PAC numbers in my version. I’ll probably release it next week

  12. @Owen G Condon that’s very similar to what I did. I have to admit that VCCzar’s version is very very biased but he did do some things fairly accurate. I will also work on the percentage of support strength in certain states so, for example Texas may be pretty narrow but I also want to keep it harder to flip whereas MI and PA have narrow dem leads that could easily dissipate if you play your cards right as Trump.

  13. @Owen G Condon Can’t wait to see your version though. These days the polling numbers are insanely difficult to predict. Keeping Trump’s numbers high for the GOP primaries is certainly a good idea though.

  14. Am I doing something wrong with my DL? I don’t seem to be getting the updated version w/ Beto.

    Glad you’re putting in the time, this looks great!

  15. Something isn’t working. I’m not getting the updated version that includes Beto and Inslee.

  16. I have the may one thanks. But why does it take so long to go to the next turn!? It’s not even playable.

  17. Sorry that was the older one that had a very slow wait turn time. This one for may 10th is MUCH quicker with turns.

  18. A number of things about this scenario.

    1. You are lacking a number of candidates that have declared they are running, like for the Green party, Ian Schlakman, Alan Auguston, Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry, for the Libertarian party, you are missing the candidates Arvin Vohra, and Vermin Supreme.

    2. Jesse Ventura is no longer a member of the Libertarian party, he’s a member of the Green party these days.

    3. Some of the stats are just, weird. Take for example, Ben Shapino has a higher debate skill than Justin Amash, a sitting member of the House, yet fellow Talk Radio host Sam Seder 3’s and 2’s in issue familiarity/debate skill, respectively, your bias is showing very clearly.

    4. PIP allocation is just plain wrong, I hate to say it. You gave a talk radio host as many PIPs as a sitting Senator, and gave a Robert Francis O’Rourke as many PIPs as the sitting President. Were you high when you made this? What’s your reasoning with how you give each candidate PIPs, because a sitting President, and a guy who lost a Senate race to Ted Cruz, absolutely do not, have the same level of political influence.

  19. Hey Virgil, thanks for the points. I’m in the middle of fixing some of this right now. As you know, a lot of things in this race have changed within the last few months. I don’t mean for any bias to show. Beto’s PIP will be fixed and a number of candidates will be added. If anything, I think Trump has a really good chance at winning re-election and I meant it so that this scenario could go either way.

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