London 2018 local elections scenario!

A new scenario from our neck of the woods! London has critical local elections coming up in just a couple of weeks time (2nd May: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_local_elections,_2018 )

Can Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party inflict severe losses upon the Conservatives, led by Theresa May? The contest is heating up for several conservative controlled councils, with the Tories heading for their worst ever result in the capital city. Can Labour take the critical Tory councils of Barnett, Wandsworth, Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea and Hillingdon and show that it is on the way to a general election victory? Or will Theresa May and the Tories hang onto most of their councils and take the steam out of the Labour steamroller? Will the Liberal Democrats be able to capitalise on the anti Brexit tide, or will it be the Greens or UKIP who become the 3rd party in London instead?

Last local elections: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_local_elections,_2014

A good night for Labour: Taking Barnett, Tower Hamlets, and at least three other of the councils. Inflicting losses of above 200 Councillors on the Tories would inflict severe damage on the Conservative Party.

A good night for the Conservatives: Holding onto all or most of their councils and (At worst) losing Barnett, but taking back Havering from the independents. Fighting off the Liberal Democrats in Richmond and Kingston. Losses of less than 100, or potential gains, would be a very good result.

A good night for the Liberal Democrats: Holding onto Sutton, winning Richmond and Kingston Upon Thames would show that the anti Brexit vote is in full swing

A good night for the Greens/UKIP: Winning anything at all.

Screenshots:

 

Click here to download this scenario: 2018-London Local elections

6 thoughts on “London 2018 local elections scenario!

  1. Will you update percentages based on results? Let’s say Tories do well in North London seats like barnet because of the high Jewish population. Or Labour completely wipes out the Tories and take almost all councils.

  2. Experience 5 for JC? No cabinet posts no committee chairs just ldr for 3 years and MP for a long time. And ldrshp 4? I’m guessing you are a fan. Personally, I’d make both 3.

  3. First Play good scenario. Could do with tweaking leaders and events. 22 momentum at the start for JC is strange.

    Final Result.
    CON: 40.8% 1,555
    LAB: 32.7% 691
    IND: 100
    Con gains: Enfield, Greenwich, Havering, Hammersmith and Fulham, Hounslow, Harrow, Merton, Redbridge, Southwark, Sutton, Waltham Forest
    Labour Gains: Tower Hamlets

  4. @Astrok, yes I a going to update the % etc after the actual results next Thursday

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